{"id":253473,"date":"2026-07-13T11:08:29","date_gmt":"2026-07-13T16:08:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/?p=253473"},"modified":"2026-07-13T11:12:45","modified_gmt":"2026-07-13T16:12:45","slug":"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\/","title":{"rendered":"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-yoast-seo-estimated-reading-time yoast-reading-time__wrapper\"><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__icon\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-icon=\"clock\" width=\"20\" height=\"20\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" style=\"display:inline-block;vertical-align:-0.1em\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\"><path stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"2\" d=\"M12 8v4l3 3m6-3a9 9 0 11-18 0 9 9 0 0118 0z\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__spacer\" style=\"display:inline-block;width:1em\"><\/span><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__descriptive-text\">Estimated reading time: <\/span><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__reading-time\">4<\/span><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__time-unit\"> minutes<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\"><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>If you ask most people which developed country has the worst violent crime problem, the answer is usually the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s a claim repeated by politicians, media outlets, and even foreign governments. The argument often goes something like this: America has more guns, so naturally it has more violent crime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But according to new research from economist and Crime Prevention Research Center President Dr. <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/who-shoots-bystanders-more-often-police-or-concealed-carriers\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-wpil-monitor-id=\"7193\">John Lott<\/a>, that conclusion depends almost entirely on which statistics you&#8217;re looking at.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a new investigation published by <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearinvestigations.com\/articles\/2026\/07\/09\/mythbuster_us_much_safer_than_many_peer_nations_1193400.html\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\">Real Clear Investigations,<\/a><\/em> Lott argues that when you compare the total number of people who say they&#8217;ve actually been victims of crime (not just crimes reported to police) the United States often fares much better than commonly believed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And in some categories, it fares better than Canada and Australia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Real_Crime_US_Canada_Australia-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"Infographic comparing violent and property crime victimization rates in the United States, Canada, and Australia based on victimization survey data highlighted by Dr. John Lott.\" class=\"wp-image-253474\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Real_Crime_US_Canada_Australia-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Real_Crime_US_Canada_Australia-400x267.jpg 400w, https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Real_Crime_US_Canada_Australia-150x100.jpg 150w, https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Real_Crime_US_Canada_Australia-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Real_Crime_US_Canada_Australia.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A visual summary of Dr. John Lott&#8217;s latest analysis comparing victimization survey data from the United States, Canada, and Australia. The research argues that broader victimization surveys paint a different picture than police-reported crime statistics alone. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-yoast-seo-table-of-contents yoast-table-of-contents\"><h2>Table of contents<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"#h-police-reports-aren-t-the-whole-story\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-level=\"2\">Police Reports Aren&#8217;t the Whole Story<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-murder-isn-t-the-whole-crime-story\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-level=\"2\">Murder Isn&#8217;t the Whole Crime Story<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-australia-looks-different-under-victim-surveys\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-level=\"2\">Australia Looks Different Under Victim Surveys<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-canada-doesn-t-come-out-looking-better-either\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-level=\"2\">Canada Doesn&#8217;t Come Out Looking Better Either<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-why-don-t-victims-call-police\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-level=\"2\">Why Don&#8217;t Victims Call Police?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-not-everyone-agrees\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-level=\"2\">Not Everyone Agrees<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-the-bigger-question\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-level=\"2\">The Bigger Question<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-police-reports-aren-t-the-whole-story\">Police Reports Aren&#8217;t the Whole Story<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Lott says one of the biggest mistakes people make when comparing <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/texas-police-shoot-robbery-suspect\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-wpil-monitor-id=\"7195\">crime between countries is relying solely on police<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The problem?  Not every crime gets reported.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s why countries like the United States, Canada, and Australia all conduct large victimization surveys. Instead of counting police reports, researchers ask thousands of people whether they&#8217;ve personally been victims of crimes such as robbery, assault, sexual assault, or burglary: even if they never called police.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. uses the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), which interviews roughly 240,000 Americans every year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Canada conducts a similar General Social Survey, while <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/australia-a-nation-of-defenseless-victims\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-wpil-monitor-id=\"7197\">Australia operates its own national victimization<\/a> survey.  Lott argues those surveys paint a much different picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-murder-isn-t-the-whole-crime-story\">Murder Isn&#8217;t the Whole Crime Story<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Lott readily acknowledges one statistic.  America&#8217;s homicide rate remains higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2025, the U.S. murder rate was roughly four per 100,000 people.  About <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/double-heym-89b\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-wpil-monitor-id=\"7196\">double Canada&#8217;s and Australia&#8217;s<\/a> recent homicide rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But he argues homicide represents only a tiny slice of violent crime.  According to the NCVS, murders accounted for only about 0.21 percent of violent crimes committed in the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;So if you&#8217;re trying to understand what everyday crime looks like,&#8221; Lott argues, &#8220;you need to look beyond homicide.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-australia-looks-different-under-victim-surveys\">Australia Looks Different Under Victim Surveys<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the biggest surprises in Lott&#8217;s analysis involves Australia.  Using victimization survey data instead of police reports, he concludes Australia&#8217;s:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sexual assault rate is roughly three times higher than the United States.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Assault rate is about twice as high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Burglary rate is roughly 2.5 times higher.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Robbery rates are relatively similar.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>He also argues Australia&#8217;s surveys likely undercount repeat victimizations because they record victims rather than individual criminal incidents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-canada-doesn-t-come-out-looking-better-either\">Canada Doesn&#8217;t Come Out Looking Better Either<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Canada also challenges the conventional narrative.  Lott writes that Canada&#8217;s victimization survey reported violent crime rates far above what police statistics suggest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After adjusting for differences between the U.S. and Canadian surveys, he concludes Canada&#8217;s overall violent crime victimization rate was at least 175 percent higher than the U.S. in 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Robbery rates, he says, were 268 percent higher, while burglary rates were 259 percent higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-why-don-t-victims-call-police\">Why Don&#8217;t Victims Call Police?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Another point Lott raises involves reporting rates.  He cites experts who argue people are less likely to report crimes when they believe offenders won&#8217;t be caught or prosecuted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Canadian criminologist Gary Mauser says victimization surveys provide a much more complete picture of crime than police reports alone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>University of Georgia professor David Mustard goes a step further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The extremely low reporting rates in Australia and Canada raise serious doubts about public confidence in their criminal justice systems,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-not-everyone-agrees\">Not Everyone Agrees<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"On Strictly Speaking \u2013 Unfiltered with Bob Frantz: To Discuss Racial Bias in the Criminal Justice\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/9rSOlMHvKiE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lott&#8217;s conclusions aren&#8217;t likely to end the debate.  International crime comparisons are notoriously difficult.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Countries define crimes differently. Survey methods vary. Cultural differences also affect whether people report crimes to police or even participate in victimization surveys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even Lott acknowledges direct comparisons require caution because survey methodologies aren&#8217;t identical.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, he argues the available evidence consistently challenges the popular belief that America is uniquely dangerous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-bigger-question\">The Bigger Question<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Whether readers agree with Lott or not, his research raises an important question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If victimization surveys capture crimes that never make it into police reports, should they carry more weight than official crime statistics when comparing countries?  Or are police-reported numbers still the better benchmark?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lott believes the answer is clear.  His research argues that relying only on police reports paints an incomplete and often misleading picture of public safety.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s a debate that&#8217;s likely to continue, especially as policymakers cite international <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/houston-gun-heist\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" data-wpil-monitor-id=\"7194\">crime comparisons in arguments over gun<\/a> laws, criminal justice reform, and public safety.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\" style=\"font-size:24px\"><strong><em>*** <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"america-violent-crime-research-canada-australia\" title=\"New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Buy and Sell on GunsAmerica!<\/a> ***<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you ask most people which developed country has the worst violent crime problem, the answer is usually the United States.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":158,"featured_media":253474,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_specdata_upc":"","_specdata_placement":"manual","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[132,607,122],"featured":[],"hunt365":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-253473","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-buzz","9":"tag-news","10":"tag-r2kba"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>New Research Challenges Claims That America Is More Violent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"New America violent 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