{"id":217115,"date":"2025-06-16T10:23:29","date_gmt":"2025-06-16T15:23:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/?p=217115"},"modified":"2025-10-07T09:57:15","modified_gmt":"2025-10-07T14:57:15","slug":"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\/","title":{"rendered":"CPRC Torches &#8216;Flawed&#8217; JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-yoast-seo-estimated-reading-time yoast-reading-time__wrapper\"><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__icon\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-icon=\"clock\" width=\"20\" height=\"20\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" style=\"display:inline-block;vertical-align:-0.1em\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\"><path stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"2\" d=\"M12 8v4l3 3m6-3a9 9 0 11-18 0 9 9 0 0118 0z\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__spacer\" style=\"display:inline-block;width:1em\"><\/span><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__descriptive-text\">Estimated reading time: <\/span><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__reading-time\">4<\/span><span class=\"yoast-reading-time__time-unit\"> minutes<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A new study published in <em>JAMA Pediatrics<\/em> is catching heat for claiming that gun-friendly states saw a rise in youth firearm deaths after the Supreme Court&#8217;s 2010 <em>McDonald v. Chicago<\/em> decision. But the Crime Prevention Research Center (CPRC) is calling B.S.\u2014and they\u2019re not pulling any punches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to <a href=\"https:\/\/crimeresearch.org\/2025\/06\/jama-pediatrics-publishes-extremely-flawed-studied-titled-firearm-laws-and-pediatric-mortality-in-the-us\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\">CPRC<\/a>, the study\u2019s title alone\u2014<em>\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/jamanetwork.com\/journals\/jamapediatrics\/article-abstract\/2834530\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\">Firearm Laws and Pediatric Mortality in the US<\/a>\u201d<\/em>\u2014is misleading. The authors suggest that states with \u201cpermissive\u201d gun laws saw more child deaths after the 2010 ruling, but CPRC says the whole thing is built on junk math and bad assumptions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-yoast-seo-table-of-contents yoast-table-of-contents\"><h2>Table of contents<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"#h-a-study-that-ignores-reality\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\" data-level=\"2\">A Study That Ignores Reality<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-no-controls-no-clue\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\" data-level=\"2\">No Controls, No Clue<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-playing-with-excess-deaths\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\" data-level=\"2\">Playing with \u201cExcess Deaths\u201d<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-if-you-want-to-study-guns-study-guns\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\" data-level=\"2\">If You Want to Study Guns, Study Guns<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#h-media-eats-up-child-deaths-no-questions-asked\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\" data-level=\"2\">Media Eats Up Child Deaths\u2014No Questions Asked<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-a-study-that-ignores-reality\">A Study That Ignores Reality<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>First off, CPRC slams the study for pretending laws don\u2019t change over time. Colorado, for example, is labeled as a \u201cpermissive\u201d state for the entire study period\u2014even though it passed universal background checks, a mag ban, and a <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/truth-about-red-flag-laws\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\" data-wpil-monitor-id=\"426\">red flag law<\/a> between 2013 and 2020. Blaming 2023 numbers on 2010-era laws? That\u2019s not science, CPRC argues\u2014that\u2019s fiction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Worse, the researchers grouped states into three vague categories\u2014strict, permissive, and most permissive\u2014without explaining how they weighed different laws. Is a <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/virginia-law-review-red-flags-laws-on-safe-legal-ground-for-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\" data-wpil-monitor-id=\"425\">red flag law more important than a safe<\/a> storage mandate? Do you just add up the number of laws and call it a day? CPRC says this method is so arbitrary, it borders on meaningless.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-no-controls-no-clue\">No Controls, No Clue<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Normally, serious research compares crime before and after laws change, while controlling for outside factors. This study doesn\u2019t do that. It just compares states to each other in a snapshot, as if nothing else matters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What did they leave out? A lot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Law enforcement presence<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Conviction and incarceration rates<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>COVID-19 policies<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Unemployment, poverty, alcohol use<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Even the difference between murder and justifiable homicide<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>CPRC points out that not mentioning policing when talking about crime should\u2019ve been a red flag for reporters. \u201cThis has to be one of the dumbest studies done in a long time,\u201d the group says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-playing-with-excess-deaths\">Playing with \u201cExcess Deaths\u201d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The researchers used a public health method called \u201cexcess deaths\u201d to make their case. Basically, they predicted how many youth deaths they expected in each state based on old trends. Then, when reality didn\u2019t match the prediction, they blamed gun laws for the difference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SEE ALSO: <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/the-smith-and-wesson-642-uc-ultimate-carry\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\">The Smith and Wesson 642 UC Ultimate Carry<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But CPRC calls that a rookie move. The \u201cexcess\u201d could come from anything\u2014errors in the model, missing variables, or things like COVID lockdowns, which caused homicide spikes in many places. The researchers didn\u2019t even try to separate out those effects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They used a Poisson regression model, which assumes that variance equals the mean\u2014an assumption CPRC says almost never holds true in crime data. When that assumption breaks (as it likely did here), the results get skewed, and any claims of \u201csignificant\u201d findings become shaky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-if-you-want-to-study-guns-study-guns\">If You Want to Study Guns, Study Guns<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the CPRC\u2019s biggest gripes? The study doesn\u2019t even try to look at <em>actual<\/em> changes in gun laws or their effects over time. Instead, it lumps everything into static categories and ignores reality on the ground. It\u2019s the research equivalent of blaming the weather on your mood.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Worse, the authors never address whether those deaths involved legally owned firearms or if safe storage laws were violated. And they gloss over the difference between murder and justifiable self-defense\u2014lumping them all under \u201chomicide.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-media-eats-up-child-deaths-no-questions-asked\">Media Eats Up Child Deaths\u2014No Questions Asked<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite all these red flags, major outlets like <em>The New York Times<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/06\/09\/health\/gun-deaths-children.html\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\">ran<\/a> with the story uncritically. Reporters repeated the claim that \u201cfirearm deaths of children and teenagers rose significantly\u201d in states with loosened gun laws\u2014without bothering to question the data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But as CPRC notes, when a paper ignores how laws change, skips basic controls, mislabels states, and draws sweeping conclusions from a broken model\u2014it shouldn\u2019t be taken seriously. And it definitely shouldn\u2019t be used to drive policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\" style=\"font-size:24px\"><strong><em>*** <a href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"clickTracking\" campaign=\"cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\" title=\"CPRC Torches 'Flawed' JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Kids\u2019 Deaths\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Buy and Sell on GunsAmerica!<\/a> ***<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The authors suggest that states with \u201cpermissive\u201d gun laws saw more child deaths after the 2010 ruling, but CPRC says the whole thing is built on junk math and bad assumptions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":158,"featured_media":102094,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_specdata_upc":"","_specdata_placement":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4024],"tags":[132,607,122],"featured":[],"hunt365":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-217115","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"tag-buzz","9":"tag-news","10":"tag-r2kba"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CPRC Rips JAMA Study Blaming Gun Laws for Child Deaths<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"CPRC slams a JAMA Pediatrics study linking permissive gun laws to child deaths, calling it flawed, biased, and statistically unreliable.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/cprc-rips-jama-study-blaming-gun-laws-for-child-deaths\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CPRC Torches &#039;Flawed&#039; 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