{"id":132088,"date":"2020-07-30T09:48:18","date_gmt":"2020-07-30T13:48:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gunsamerica.com\/digest\/?p=132088"},"modified":"2020-07-30T09:48:18","modified_gmt":"2023-09-06T22:54:25","slug":"nssf-responds-to-study-that-claims-permissive-concealed-carry-laws-dont-deter-mass-shootings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gunsamerica.com\/digest\/nssf-responds-to-study-that-claims-permissive-concealed-carry-laws-dont-deter-mass-shootings\/","title":{"rendered":"NSSF Responds to Study that Claims Permissive Concealed Carry Laws Don’t Deter Mass Shootings"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"NSSF
(Photo: NSSF<\/em>)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Elizabeth McGuigan<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A new study<\/a><\/strong> seeks to connect gun ownership levels and concealed carry laws with mass shootings and other firearm homicides. The author, Emma E. Fridel of Florida State University, attempts to compare the impact of gun ownership and concealed carry legislation on the incidence rate of mass shootings and firearm homicide in the U.S. from 1991-2016. How does the author do this? By using questionable data to argue for predetermined conclusions. This is agenda-driven \u201cresearch\u201d at its worst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An Exercise in Cognitive Dissonance<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

The study is a wonderful case study of the kind of doublethink required to connect non-existent dots in gun control literature. For example, right off the bat, the author asserts that, \u201cMass shootings represent the epitome of the firearms violence epidemic.\u201d She then goes onto say that these tragedies \u201caccount for less than 1% of all homicides in the United States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let\u2019s put aside for a moment the bias inherent in calling crimes an epidemic<\/a>.<\/strong> We know that homicides represent only one-third of firearm fatalities in a given year (the overwhelming majority being suicides<\/a>,<\/strong> which are not addressed in this study despite the growing trend and large numbers). Yet, the author is claiming that mass shootings are the \u201cepitome\u201d of the problem?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Author\u2019s Anti-gun Bias is Clear<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Throughout her study, the author makes it clear that she is operating under the assumption that lower levels of gun ownership is better for society. For example, she states that, \u201cAlthough household gun ownership has been declining since the early 1990s \u2026 gun purchases and permit applications spike dramatically in the wake of infamous mass shootings \u2026\u201d We know that this reported decline is questionable at best<\/strong><\/a>,<\/strong> but it is concerning that she frames the problem here as purchases increasing following mass shooting incidents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In fact, the author notes that \u201cNearly 80% of American adults experience stress related to mass shootings\u2026\u201d and also that \u201c56% of Americans believe that increased gun-carrying in public makes the nation safer\u2026\u201d So, if Americans are stressed about the fortunately rare incidents of mass shootings, perhaps increasing the number of states allowing the legal carrying of firearms would help alleviate this stress and serve as a stress-reducing factor for society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Literature Review Finds Zero Backing for Study Assumptions<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

The author\u2019s literature review is similarly muddied. While noting studies that show a wide variety of conclusions, the author cites a handful of studies, including those from the 1960s and 1970s, to support her claim that \u201cprior research has consistently shown that gun ownership rates are positively associated with the firearms homicide rate.\u201d This is false<\/strong><\/a>. Throughout recent years, homicide rates are generally declining as gun ownership rates are rising<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The author acknowledges there is not a demonstrated causal relationship later in the study when she notes that, \u201cIn most studies, it remains unclear if there are more homicides in areas with more guns, or people obtain guns for self-protection because they live in dangerous areas.\u201d She then goes on to point out the research that shows there is no relationship between gun ownership and mass shooting rates. It\u2019s not clear why the study does not conclude here, as the mass shootings are the \u201cepitome\u201d of gun violence, particularly as she goes on to note that the research on the impact of concealed carry legislation<\/strong><\/a> is \u201ceven murkier\u201d and \u201cdecidedly mixed.\u201d This is also misleading, as valid research has shown that concealed carry laws decrease violent crime rates<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Database or Creative Art Project?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Getting into the data sources, the author uses a creative mix of media sources, gun control groups and others to cobble together what she argues is a valid dataset. Seeing as these data are not made public, we will remain skeptical that this is in any way an accurate count of crimes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When considering the control variables to examine, the author neglects to include some of those widely-accepted<\/a><\/strong> to have a causal relationship with crime rates including: population density and degree of urbanization, cultural, education, and recreational factors, effective strength of law enforcement agencies, criminal prosecution rates and other factors. Instead she includes factors such as alcohol consumption and hunting licenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Even more concerning is the author\u2019s coding of concealed carry legislation as a binary measure, while she notes earlier that there are three types of concealed carry laws in the U.S. and that even within these three categories, the laws vary dramatically<\/strong><\/a> from state to state. Lumping together disparate policies is an oversimplification with very real limitations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Conclusion: More Uncertainty<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Despite the methodological bias and flawed data, the author determined that gun ownership was not a predictor of firearm homicide and concealed carry laws are not associated with mass shooting incidents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

She did attempt to draw a connection between concealed carry laws and homicide rates; however, her analysis is subject to the same limitations that led her to note earlier that it is just as likely that people in areas with high crime rates purchase firearms for protection. It is stunning, then, that the author is willing to make the unsupported claim that, \u201cpermissive concealed carry legislation is a significant contributor to the gun violence epidemic in the United States.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is the perfect, albeit unfounded, ending to a study rife with conflicting assertions, questionable data sources and overt bias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elizabeth McGuigan <\/em><\/strong>is the Director of Legislative and Policy Research for the National Shooting Sports Foundation, the trade association for the firearms and ammunition industry. Previously, she conducted policy and economic research for the financial industry and advocacy groups in Washington, DC. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

***Buy and Sell on GunsAmerica!<\/a>***<\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This is the perfect, albeit unfounded, ending to a study rife with conflicting assertions, questionable data sources and overt bias.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":115,"featured_media":132089,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_specdata_upc":"","_specdata_placement":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1803,240],"tags":[132,586,311],"featured":[],"hunt365":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-132088","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news-wire","8":"category-this-week","9":"tag-buzz","10":"tag-column","11":"tag-nssf"},"yoast_head":"\nNSSF Responds to Study that Claims Permissive Concealed Carry Laws Don't Deter Mass Shootings<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A new study seeks to connect gun ownership levels and concealed carry laws with mass shootings and other firearm homicides.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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